Trump, Xi set to talk trade after 30% drop during tariff war

TL;DR

U.S. and Chinese leaders are preparing to meet to discuss trade policies following a significant 30% decline in bilateral trade during their tariff war. The meeting marks a potential shift in economic relations, with key details yet to be confirmed.

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to meet to discuss trade issues, nearly a year after they paused their tariff war, amid a 30% decline in bilateral trade during the conflict. The meeting signals a potential shift in their economic relationship, with both leaders seeking to address ongoing tensions.

According to sources close to the matter, the leaders are preparing for talks that could mark a de-escalation of the trade dispute that saw tariffs imposed by both sides over the past few years. The trade war caused bilateral trade to decline by approximately 30%, as reported by Nikkei Asia, with Chinese exports to the U.S. falling sharply, though overall Chinese trade surplus increased due to rising imports from Vietnam and India.

While specific agenda items have not been officially disclosed, officials suggest discussions will likely focus on tariffs, trade barriers, and future economic cooperation. The timing of the meeting has not been officially announced, but preparations are reportedly underway in both Washington and Beijing.

Why It Matters

This development matters because a potential thaw in U.S.-China trade relations could influence global markets, supply chains, and economic stability. The trade war’s impact, including the 30% decline in bilateral trade, has had wide-ranging effects on industries and economies worldwide. A constructive dialogue could lead to policy shifts that benefit global economic growth.

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The Art of Diplomacy: How American Negotiators Reached Historic Agreements that Changed the World

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Background

The trade war between the U.S. and China escalated in 2018, with both countries imposing tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of goods. In 2025, Chinese exports to the U.S. fell sharply, but Chinese trade overall grew due to increased imports from other Asian countries, such as Vietnam and India. The pause in tariffs last year was seen as a tentative step toward dialogue, but no substantial agreements were reached until now.

“The upcoming talks are a critical step toward easing tensions and exploring new avenues for cooperation.”

— an unnamed U.S. official

“Both sides are committed to dialogue and will discuss issues of mutual concern.”

— a Chinese government spokesperson

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What Remains Unclear

It is not yet clear whether the talks will lead to concrete agreements or a significant easing of tariffs. The specific agenda and outcomes remain uncertain, and the timing of the official meeting has not been publicly confirmed.

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International Trade: Theory and Policy, Global Edition

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What’s Next

Next steps include finalizing the date of the meeting, outlining the agenda, and monitoring any official statements from both governments. Markets and industries will be watching closely for signs of policy shifts or new trade agreements following the talks.

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Key Questions

When is the trade meeting between Trump and Xi scheduled?

The exact date has not been officially announced, but preparations are underway for a future meeting.

What are the main issues likely to be discussed?

Possible topics include tariffs, trade barriers, intellectual property, and future economic cooperation.

Could this lead to a full resolution of trade tensions?

It is uncertain. While the talks are a positive step, no concrete agreements have been announced, and significant disagreements may remain.

How might this affect global markets?

A positive outcome could boost investor confidence and stabilize markets, while continued uncertainty could have the opposite effect.

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